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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£34,996,870
The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 833 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 832 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 30, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 18 June 2021 — its closest relative in 832 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 167 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 752,833 winners, 20% more than the 626k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 752,833 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 296,919 | £4.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 73,056 | £6.30 |
| Match 3 | 49,650 | £7.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 13,868 | £13.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,774 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 917 | £56.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,158 | £31.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 460 | £107 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19 | £1,410 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £113,536 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £34,996,870 |