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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£33,484,744
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 856 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 855 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 25, 39, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 June 2018 — its closest relative in 855 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 8.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 December 2024): 25, 47 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 169 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 608 winners, 10% fewer than the 678 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,025,701 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 426,665 | £4.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 112,234 | £5.70 |
| Match 3 | 69,227 | £7.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,745 | £12.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 28,649 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,415 | £51.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,479 | £34.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 608 | £114 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 39 | £964 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £57,918 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £33,484,744 |