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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,817,200
The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 945 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 157 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 944 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 8, 14, 16) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 November 2020 — its closest relative in 944 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 61 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,702 winners, 43% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 876,026 | £2.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 372,233 | £3.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 87,453 | £4.50 |
| Match 3 | 67,762 | £4.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 17,604 | £8.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,890 | £6.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,318 | £34.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,702 | £18.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 708 | £60.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26 | £889 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £9,273 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £158,713 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,817,200 |