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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£140,315,841
The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 984 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 February 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 98 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 983 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 39, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 October 2025 — its closest relative in 983 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 February 2026): 27 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6, 10 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈35M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,610 winners, 44% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,755,815 | £2.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 734,167 | £3.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 185,628 | £4.60 |
| Match 3 | 130,052 | £5.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36,233 | £9.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 54,853 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,710 | £35.80 |
| Match 4 | 3,615 | £18.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,610 | £57.00 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 76 | £656 |
| Match 5 | 31 | £5,164 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 14 | £48,923 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £140,315,841 |