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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£114,433,995
The crowdHeld 37% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 849 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 141 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 848 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 22, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 May 2024 — its closest relative in 848 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 November 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 105 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 11–12. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,292 winners, 42% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,394,060 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 545,032 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 119,027 | £5.80 |
| Match 3 | 98,242 | £5.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24,670 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 39,940 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,827 | £43.20 |
| Match 4 | 2,292 | £24.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 910 | £82.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 41 | £991 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £10,866 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £185,970 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £114,433,995 |