Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,526,500
The crowdHeld 57% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 725 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 724 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 41, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 May 2018 — its closest relative in 724 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 52 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 187,872 winners, 57% more than the 120k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €162,495 |
| rang3 | 2 | €12,659 |
| rang4 | 4 | €1,690 |
| rang5 | 87 | €177 |
| rang6 | 163 | €85.40 |
| rang7 | 211 | €45.90 |
| rang8 | 2,564 | €19.80 |
| rang9 | 4,019 | €14.80 |
| rang10 | 12,152 | €9.40 |
| rang11 | 13,958 | €9.30 |
| rang12 | 60,977 | €6.90 |
| rang13 | 187,872 | €3.70 |