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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£195,546,000
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 606 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 605 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 29, 38) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 2 July 2021 — its closest relative in 605 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 132 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 1,235 winners, 23% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €1,884,993 |
| rang3 | 2 | €25,776 |
| rang4 | 33 | €1,050 |
| rang5 | 564 | €91.90 |
| rang6 | 1,235 | €52.50 |
| rang7 | 1,154 | €31.00 |
| rang8 | 14,793 | €14.00 |
| rang9 | 21,532 | €9.90 |
| rang10 | 45,056 | €8.30 |
| rang11 | 75,316 | €6.80 |
| rang12 | 284,162 | €5.30 |
| rang13 | 601,679 | €3.80 |