LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 24 July 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 14
  3. 37
  4. 39
  5. 51
  6. 6

Jackpot€27,199,058

The crowdHeld 45% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 82 of 868 under them

← 2011-07-17All recent draws2011-07-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 14 37 39 51 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum65th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

106times
1412times
377times
396times
51

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-24

  • Lines in play≈ 9.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 875k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€388.7K
  • 2+028%€799.3K
  • 0+130%€843.3K
  • 5 other tiers28%€789.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

69times

Every number was expected about that many times after 81 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 37, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 November 2010 — its closest relative in 81 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 July 2011): 39 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.7 by chance€388,715
  • 4+141≈ 72 by chance€1,724
  • 4+0291≈ 650 by chance€283
  • 3+11,759≈ 3.5k by chance€53.57
  • 3+015,428≈ 31k by chance€19.85
  • 2+128,830≈ 54k by chance€8.17
  • 2+0266,448≈ 489k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1562,219≈ 562k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 291 winners, 55% fewer than the 650 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€388,715
    4+141€1,724
    4+0291€283
    3+11,759€53.57
    3+015,428€19.85
    2+128,830€8.17
    2+0266,448€3.00
    0+1562,219€1.50