Number 40

In EuroMillions under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016 rules — 1,048 draws, 5 from 1–50.

86times drawn · chance expected 105 −1.94σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 23% for any number

11.9average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

41longest completed wait · 72% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 86 times in 1,048 draws against 104.8 expected, −1.94σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 86 times in 1,048 draws · average wait 11.9 draws · longest completed wait 41 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest0 · chance 1.9
3rd smallest8 · chance 13.5
4th smallest44 · chance 37.1
5th smallest34 · chance 33.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

20 39 13 29 2 7

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 49 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-18	9	4th	3 9 38 40 50
2026-07-17	24	5th	12 21 23 34 40
2026-04-24	1	4th	25 26 30 40 45
2026-04-21	16	4th	13 16 29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-10-20	1	4th	2 20 28 40 45
2023-10-17	1	5th	10 17 20 35 40
2023-10-13	9	4th	21 26 28 40 41
2023-09-12	4	4th	5 14 36 40 42
2023-08-29	2	4th	21 23 32 40 49
2023-08-22	4	5th	2 9 23 32 40
2023-08-08	2	5th	8 9 33 35 40
2023-08-01	28	4th	25 27 35 40 45
2023-04-25	27	4th	10 29 30 40 45
2023-01-20	3	4th	3 6 13 40 42
2023-01-10	23	4th	11 13 34 40 42
2022-10-21	3	5th	25 26 28 38 40
2022-10-11	8	5th	8 23 32 35 40
2022-09-13	12	4th	9 12 15 40 47
2022-08-02	4	4th	7 18 28 40 48
2022-07-19	10	4th	6 23 27 40 41
2022-06-14	1	5th	2 7 27 34 40
2022-06-10	10	5th	17 26 36 37 40
2022-05-06	13	5th	3 8 18 24 40
2022-03-22	5	5th	7 17 21 29 40
2022-03-04	39	3rd	6 20 40 42 43
2021-10-19	39	4th	4 20 36 40 41
2021-06-04	2	4th	7 20 36 40 46
2021-05-28	3	5th	11 13 16 34 40
2021-05-18	9	5th	5 13 38 39 40
2021-04-16	4	4th	6 11 29 40 48
2021-04-02	19	4th	4 21 34 40 47
2021-01-26	3	5th	5 7 25 37 40
2021-01-15	5	5th	4 10 27 38 40
2020-12-29	15	4th	7 32 39 40 45
2020-11-06	6	4th	7 12 37 40 50
2020-10-16	4	4th	15 33 38 40 50
2020-10-02	3	4th	6 12 15 40 45
2020-09-22	5	5th	16 25 28 39 40
2020-09-04	41	4th	6 22 29 40 43
2020-04-14	7	5th	6 29 34 35 40
2020-03-20	12	5th	3 9 20 34 40
2020-02-07	30	5th	9 15 17 25 40
2019-10-25	7	4th	34 37 39 40 50
2019-10-01	7	4th	2 11 18 40 46
2019-09-06	7	4th	10 13 22 40 48
2019-08-13	4	5th	13 29 31 33 40
2019-07-30	12	5th	15 20 23 27 40
2019-06-18	29	4th	12 24 37 40 44
2019-03-08	35	5th	17 18 19 24 40
2018-11-06	6	4th	14 24 36 40 43
2018-10-16	9	4th	15 28 37 40 42
2018-09-14	15	4th	1 3 33 40 45
2018-07-24	1	5th	2 4 23 39 40
2018-07-20	6	3rd	2 15 40 43 46
2018-06-29	8	4th	15 21 23 40 48
2018-06-01	10	5th	17 18 24 29 40
2018-04-27	7	3rd	12 24 40 41 46
2018-04-03	2	4th	3 8 16 40 43
2018-03-27	38	4th	17 20 23 40 46
2017-11-14	14	4th	14 16 39 40 41
2017-09-26	14	3rd	1 29 40 41 48
2017-08-08	1	4th	15 25 26 40 41
2017-08-04	17	4th	29 30 36 40 41
2017-06-06	32	5th	20 22 25 37 40
2017-02-14	19	4th	2 10 24 40 44
2016-12-09	—	5th	6 12 28 37 40