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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£59,380,835
The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 631 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 630 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 23, 32) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 May 2022 — its closest relative in 630 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 138 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang8 — 3,896 winners, 7% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €592,273 |
| rang3 | 0 | €27,685 |
| rang4 | 2 | €1,597 |
| rang5 | 138 | €117 |
| rang6 | 240 | €64.10 |
| rang7 | 313 | €35.60 |
| rang8 | 3,896 | €15.70 |
| rang9 | 5,561 | €11.40 |
| rang10 | 12,571 | €9.40 |
| rang11 | 22,000 | €7.20 |
| rang12 | 79,570 | €5.90 |
| rang13 | 180,360 | €4.10 |