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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£90,544,468
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 634 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 633 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 26, 38) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 September 2021 — its closest relative in 633 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1, 6 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 157 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 7,815 winners, 11% fewer than the 8.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €427,941 |
| rang3 | 1 | €18,185 |
| rang4 | 9 | €1,780 |
| rang5 | 183 | €138 |
| rang6 | 341 | €70.00 |
| rang7 | 381 | €45.70 |
| rang8 | 5,691 | €16.20 |
| rang9 | 7,815 | €13.00 |
| rang10 | 17,705 | €10.30 |
| rang11 | 33,059 | €7.30 |
| rang12 | 122,386 | €6.00 |
| rang13 | 281,261 | €4.10 |