Number 4

In EuroMillions under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016 rules — 1,048 draws, 5 from 1–50.

94times drawn · chance expected 105 −1.11σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 81% for any number

11.2average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

57longest completed wait · 23% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 94 times in 1,048 draws against 104.8 expected, −1.11σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 94 times in 1,048 draws · average wait 11.2 draws · longest completed wait 57 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest73 · chance 72.4
2nd smallest19 · chance 20.2
3rd smallest2 · chance 1.4
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

20 14 17 34 44 16

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 49 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-29	31	1st	4 7 12 31 44
2026-06-12	9	1st	4 7 14 22 23
2026-05-12	2	1st	4 26 32 35 36
2026-05-05	6	2nd	3 4 8

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-07-23	9	1st	4 8 10 16 34
2024-06-21	6	2nd	3 4 7 11 17
2024-05-31	22	1st	4 7 16 33 34
2024-03-15	4	2nd	1 4 31 34 40
2024-03-01	1	1st	4 7 19 20 34
2024-02-27	15	2nd	3 4 9 12 20
2024-01-05	9	1st	4 7 18 39 50
2023-12-05	1	1st	4 6 20 24 25
2023-12-01	26	1st	4 10 14 38 50
2023-09-01	6	1st	4 5 35 37 43
2023-08-11	7	1st	4 6 10 13 34
2023-07-18	18	1st	4 12 34 35 45
2023-05-16	9	1st	4 6 9 14 37
2023-04-14	26	1st	4 11 37 44 49
2023-01-13	31	1st	4 13 25 33 37
2022-09-27	8	1st	4 20 21 34 44
2022-08-30	36	1st	4 6 10 15 19
2022-04-26	30	1st	4 25 28 34 45
2022-01-11	4	1st	4 23 32 33 44
2021-12-28	20	1st	4 6 15 17 29
2021-10-19	57	1st	4 20 36 40 41
2021-04-02	6	1st	4 21 34 40 47
2021-03-12	2	1st	4 6 9 11 44
2021-03-05	4	1st	4 5 39 46 48
2021-02-19	10	1st	4 12 25 46 48
2021-01-15	11	1st	4 10 27 38 40
2020-12-08	18	2nd	1 4 21 24 46
2020-10-06	2	1st	4 21 36 41 47
2020-09-29	8	1st	4 14 16 41 44
2020-09-01	17	1st	4 8 10 33 46
2020-07-03	5	1st	4 16 27 37 39
2020-06-16	5	1st	4 9 11 17 39
2020-05-29	1	1st	4 8 11 19 46
2020-05-26	14	1st	4 9 14 21 27
2020-04-07	10	1st	4 5 14 33 48
2020-03-03	2	1st	4 14 27 44 45
2020-02-25	9	2nd	1 4 18 27 42
2020-01-24	44	2nd	3 4 6 9 24
2019-08-23	22	1st	4 17 35 42 45
2019-06-07	8	2nd	1 4 16 20 34
2019-05-10	14	2nd	1 4 27 45 48
2019-03-22	25	1st	4 17 26 30 43
2018-12-25	4	1st	4 5 8 31 43
2018-12-11	4	1st	4 7 13 23 42
2018-11-27	13	1st	4 16 17 18 32
2018-10-12	4	1st	4 9 12 31 43
2018-09-28	6	2nd	2 4 8 27 50
2018-09-07	2	1st	4 23 27 31 50
2018-08-31	1	1st	4 30 31 38 42
2018-08-28	10	1st	4 16 32 42 46
2018-07-24	2	2nd	2 4 23 39 40
2018-07-17	1	1st	4 6 27 48 50
2018-07-13	17	2nd	1 4 14 21 49
2018-05-15	17	1st	4 16 20 31 39
2018-03-16	22	1st	4 17 24 27 31
2017-12-29	1	1st	4 8 22 23 48
2017-12-26	5	1st	4 17 30 43 44
2017-12-08	14	1st	4 22 30 32 34
2017-10-20	3	1st	4 17 23 27 30
2017-10-10	12	1st	4 21 34 36 37
2017-08-29	19	1st	4 12 15 32 38
2017-06-23	20	2nd	3 4 21 31 38
2017-04-14	14	1st	4 14 20 23 33
2017-02-24	5	2nd	2 4 13 22 43
2017-02-07	1	1st	4 10 31 38 44
2017-02-03	1	2nd	3 4 15 46 50
2017-01-31	4	2nd	3 4 17 23 44
2017-01-17	7	1st	4 16 25 43 47
2016-12-23	23	1st	4 16 20 39 46
2016-10-04	—	1st	4 7 14 34 38