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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,263,000
The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 839 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 84 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 838 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 19, 34) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 March 2024 — its closest relative in 838 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 October 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 114 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 533 winners, 12% fewer than the 605 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 821,666 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 372,862 | £3.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 100,095 | £4.40 |
| Match 3 | 56,697 | £6.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19,378 | £9.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 25,616 | £7.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,313 | £38.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,279 | £27.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 533 | £89.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31 | £833 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £11,841 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £88,658 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,263,000 |