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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£200,645,465
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 928 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 155 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 927 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 36, 40) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 August 2017 — its closest relative in 927 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 August 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 154 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈44M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,023 winners, 28% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,688,844 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 759,032 | £4.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 234,111 | £4.40 |
| Match 3 | 109,005 | £7.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 40,120 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 48,421 | £9.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,481 | £47.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,339 | £35.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,023 | £109 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 63 | £962 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £14,972 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £416,385 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £200,645,465 |