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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£81,076,005
The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 723 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 120 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 722 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 32, 40) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 August 2023 — its closest relative in 722 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 165 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 232,261 winners, 10% more than the 211k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €636,121 |
| rang3 | 2 | €24,779 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,252 |
| rang5 | 145 | €138 |
| rang6 | 301 | €66.80 |
| rang7 | 301 | €45.30 |
| rang8 | 4,548 | €15.90 |
| rang9 | 6,434 | €12.40 |
| rang10 | 14,993 | €10.00 |
| rang11 | 24,585 | €7.60 |
| rang12 | 98,863 | €5.90 |
| rang13 | 232,261 | €4.10 |