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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£33,950,861
The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 947 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 946 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 24, 29) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 December 2024 — its closest relative in 946 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 October 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 140 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 812,936 winners, 23% more than the 663k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 812,936 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 317,298 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 77,393 | £5.40 |
| Match 3 | 53,264 | £6.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 14,683 | £11.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,790 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 977 | £49.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,097 | £30.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 443 | £103 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 16 | £1,543 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £104,576 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £33,950,861 |