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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,348,000
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 529 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 528 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 36, 40) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 June 2021 — its closest relative in 528 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 57 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 4,149 winners, 21% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €135,573 |
| rang3 | 2 | €25,349 |
| rang4 | 10 | €1,462 |
| rang5 | 88 | €163 |
| rang6 | 203 | €78.30 |
| rang7 | 198 | €54.20 |
| rang8 | 3,362 | €17.10 |
| rang9 | 4,149 | €14.60 |
| rang10 | 9,620 | €11.70 |
| rang11 | 19,826 | €7.40 |
| rang12 | 70,045 | €6.50 |
| rang13 | 156,319 | €4.50 |