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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£49,383,832
The crowdHeld 37% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 424 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 423 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 33, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 April 2018 — its closest relative in 423 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 October 2020): 38 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 176 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 12,004 winners, 42% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €737,995 |
| rang3 | 0 | €34,496 |
| rang4 | 5 | €1,074 |
| rang5 | 122 | €143 |
| rang6 | 316 | €61.70 |
| rang7 | 257 | €51.00 |
| rang8 | 5,351 | €13.70 |
| rang9 | 5,536 | €13.00 |
| rang10 | 12,004 | €11.20 |
| rang11 | 34,606 | €5.80 |
| rang12 | 90,154 | €5.90 |
| rang13 | 187,505 | €4.50 |