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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£34,196,431
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 727 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 726 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 14, 36) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 January 2022 — its closest relative in 726 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 4,251 winners, 15% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €258,199 |
| rang3 | 1 | €40,230 |
| rang4 | 5 | €1,790 |
| rang5 | 95 | €157 |
| rang6 | 217 | €71.40 |
| rang7 | 179 | €51.40 |
| rang8 | 3,408 | €16.40 |
| rang9 | 4,251 | €13.70 |
| rang10 | 10,006 | €10.90 |
| rang11 | 18,786 | €7.40 |
| rang12 | 68,096 | €6.30 |
| rang13 | 161,146 | €4.30 |