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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£212,575,000
The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 910 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 June 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 152 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 909 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 28, 40, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 October 2023 — its closest relative in 909 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 June 2025): 40, 45 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈85M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,546 winners, 42% fewer than the 6.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,534,452 | £3.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,191,575 | £4.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 450,381 | £4.10 |
| Match 3 | 163,963 | £9.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 73,437 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 76,430 | £10.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,505 | £46.50 |
| Match 4 | 3,546 | £41.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,613 | £123 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 86 | £1,253 |
| Match 5 | 17 | £20,348 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £3,613,887 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £212,575,000 |