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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£62,072,865
The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 715 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 714 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 27, 35) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 January 2021 — its closest relative in 714 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 172 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 11,300 winners, 19% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €72,144,196 |
| rang2 | 0 | €293,062 |
| rang3 | 0 | €45,662 |
| rang4 | 8 | €837 |
| rang5 | 106 | €132 |
| rang6 | 275 | €64.90 |
| rang7 | 252 | €48.00 |
| rang8 | 3,810 | €15.40 |
| rang9 | 5,097 | €12.70 |
| rang10 | 11,300 | €10.40 |
| rang11 | 23,353 | €6.70 |
| rang12 | 80,291 | €6.00 |
| rang13 | 171,200 | €4.50 |