Number 15

In EuroMillions under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016 rules — 1,048 draws, 5 from 1–50.

105times drawn · chance expected 105 +0.02σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number

10.0average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

51longest completed wait · 42% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 105 times in 1,048 draws against 104.8 expected, +0.02σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 105 times in 1,048 draws · average wait 10.0 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest26 · chance 25.9
2nd smallest47 · chance 45.4
3rd smallest27 · chance 26.8
4th smallest5 · chance 6.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

48 42 38 1 2 17

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 49 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-25	4	3rd	11 12 15 38 49
2026-09-11	6	3rd	1 7 15 39 50
2026-08-21	48	3rd	10 14 15 19 45
2026-03-06	26	1st	15 16 19

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-03-05	18	2nd	2 15 17 23 36
2024-01-02	11	2nd	7 15 18 46 49
2023-11-24	19	1st	15 20 29 39 48
2023-09-19	13	2nd	10 15 31 41 42
2023-08-04	15	1st	15 20 31 44 48
2023-06-13	3	1st	15 16 21 41 50
2023-06-02	2	3rd	3 12 15 25 43
2023-05-26	20	1st	15 25 37 38 41
2023-03-17	14	2nd	5 15 26 37 49
2023-01-27	12	3rd	8 9 15 19 31
2022-12-16	5	2nd	2 15 19 35 44
2022-11-29	19	1st	15 20 24 35 38
2022-09-23	3	2nd	14 15 22 35 48
2022-09-13	4	3rd	9 12 15 40 47
2022-08-30	27	4th	4 6 10 15 19
2022-05-27	14	1st	15 23 28 34 48
2022-04-08	29	2nd	1 15 16 38 45
2021-12-28	3	3rd	4 6 15 17 29
2021-12-17	10	3rd	1 2 15 30 35
2021-11-12	4	3rd	2 9 15 47 50
2021-10-29	1	2nd	10 15 28 32 49
2021-10-26	7	2nd	12 15 20 42 44
2021-10-01	38	2nd	1 15 19 26 48
2021-05-21	8	4th	2 9 13 15 35
2021-04-23	51	3rd	3 14 15 19 29
2020-10-27	1	2nd	13 15 28 32 44
2020-10-23	1	2nd	10 15 19 21 23
2020-10-20	1	3rd	5 6 15 37 42
2020-10-16	2	1st	15 33 38 40 50
2020-10-09	2	2nd	11 15 35 41 50
2020-10-02	12	3rd	6 12 15 40 45
2020-08-21	5	2nd	10 15 35 44 50
2020-08-04	2	4th	1 2 5 15 42
2020-07-28	2	3rd	9 13 15 17 34
2020-07-21	1	2nd	14 15 24 29 42
2020-07-17	2	2nd	7 15 27 41 43
2020-07-10	9	1st	15 17 23 30 38
2020-06-09	12	2nd	5 15 27 36 46
2020-04-28	15	1st	15 23 26 28 32
2020-03-06	8	1st	15 38 43 45 46
2020-02-07	10	2nd	9 15 17 25 40
2020-01-03	11	2nd	5 15 20 36 47
2019-11-26	2	3rd	2 3 15 19 34
2019-11-19	12	3rd	8 10 15 30 42
2019-10-08	20	3rd	7 10 15 44 49
2019-07-30	30	1st	15 20 23 27 40
2019-04-16	9	3rd	1 8 15 44 49
2019-03-15	5	2nd	3 15 24 42 46
2019-02-26	3	2nd	3 15 29 35 47
2019-02-15	6	1st	15 27 34 38 49
2019-01-25	10	4th	1 6 13 15 16
2018-12-21	14	3rd	2 12 15 34 50
2018-11-02	5	2nd	5 15 17 37 44
2018-10-16	6	1st	15 28 37 40 42
2018-09-25	11	2nd	6 15 20 30 38
2018-08-17	1	2nd	2 15 18 24 43
2018-08-14	7	2nd	1 15 18 25 31
2018-07-20	5	2nd	2 15 40 43 46
2018-07-03	1	3rd	1 12 15 29 48
2018-06-29	1	1st	15 21 23 40 48
2018-06-26	6	1st	15 16 20 34 50
2018-06-05	3	2nd	9 15 22 39 46
2018-05-25	7	2nd	13 15 16 28 41
2018-05-01	4	2nd	6 15 17 42 48
2018-04-17	12	1st	15 27 33 39 50
2018-03-06	10	1st	15 20 26 31 44
2018-01-30	1	2nd	11 15 21 27 35
2018-01-26	5	2nd	6 15 24 28 48
2018-01-09	6	3rd	6 12 15 38 49
2017-12-19	21	2nd	8 15 30 38 46
2017-10-06	11	3rd	1 9 15 19 25
2017-08-29	1	3rd	4 12 15 32 38
2017-08-25	5	4th	1 5 7 15 47
2017-08-08	15	1st	15 25 26 40 41
2017-06-16	7	1st	15 17 38 41 42
2017-05-23	2	2nd	8 15 25 27 42
2017-05-16	29	3rd	8 11 15 20 30
2017-02-03	13	3rd	3 4 15 46 50
2016-12-20	10	2nd	13 15 17 21 27
2016-11-15	6	2nd	7 15 36 42 48
2016-10-25	—	2nd	3 15 20 21 28