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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,733,867
The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 717 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 716 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 35, 40) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 October 2022 — its closest relative in 716 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 125 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 8,904 winners, 43% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €245,846 |
| rang3 | 0 | €57,458 |
| rang4 | 3 | €1,556 |
| rang5 | 89 | €150 |
| rang6 | 232 | €61.00 |
| rang7 | 165 | €49.60 |
| rang8 | 4,387 | €12.70 |
| rang9 | 4,112 | €12.80 |
| rang10 | 8,904 | €11.10 |
| rang11 | 26,018 | €5.60 |
| rang12 | 72,204 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 148,425 | €4.20 |