Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£50,129,756
The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 450 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 449 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 10, 38) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 February 2017 — its closest relative in 449 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 January 2021): 10 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 119 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 265,732 winners, 20% more than the 222k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €384,315 |
| rang3 | 1 | €59,881 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,272 |
| rang5 | 161 | €125 |
| rang6 | 342 | €63.00 |
| rang7 | 390 | €38.80 |
| rang8 | 4,934 | €15.60 |
| rang9 | 7,495 | €11.30 |
| rang10 | 18,304 | €9.00 |
| rang11 | 25,892 | €7.50 |
| rang12 | 110,316 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 265,732 | €3.90 |