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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£195,707,000
The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 607 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 101 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 606 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 27, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 June 2021 — its closest relative in 606 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 494,519 winners, 21% more than the 409k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €230,000,000 |
| rang2 | 3 | €4,413,401 |
| rang3 | 3 | €30,175 |
| rang4 | 12 | €1,403 |
| rang5 | 310 | €136 |
| rang6 | 621 | €69.30 |
| rang7 | 657 | €41.00 |
| rang8 | 8,961 | €17.00 |
| rang9 | 13,566 | €12.30 |
| rang10 | 32,901 | €9.30 |
| rang11 | 47,753 | €8.00 |
| rang12 | 204,707 | €5.90 |
| rang13 | 494,519 | €3.90 |