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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£104,634,780
The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 790 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 April 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 132 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 789 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 20, 40) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 October 2023 — its closest relative in 789 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 April 2024): 46 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 160 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang8 — 6,017 winners, 8% fewer than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €938,778 |
| rang3 | 3 | €19,946 |
| rang4 | 10 | €1,752 |
| rang5 | 161 | €137 |
| rang6 | 420 | €66.70 |
| rang7 | 408 | €45.10 |
| rang8 | 6,017 | €16.30 |
| rang9 | 9,193 | €11.80 |
| rang10 | 19,653 | €10.00 |
| rang11 | 34,383 | €7.30 |
| rang12 | 128,141 | €6.10 |
| rang13 | 285,834 | €4.30 |