Number 49

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.

17times drawn · chance expected 11 +1.77σ

21draws waiting · a wait this long: 23% for any number

8.3average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

18longest completed wait · >99% chance of one at least that long

49 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 17 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +1.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 21 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 49, draw by draw

Drawn 17 times in 158 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 21 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 49 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest1 · chance 1.3
3rd smallest8 · chance 4.7
4th smallest5 · chance 7.1
5th smallest3 · chance 3.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

43 58 59 12 14 18

Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 26 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 49 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 49 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-07-28	18	3rd	34 48 49 59 70
2026-05-26	5	3rd	1 5 49 51 59
2026-05-08	6	3rd	37 47 49 51 58
2026-04-17	2	4th	38 43 44

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 49 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.