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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
Drawn 12 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +0.22σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 12 times in 158 draws · average wait 12.3 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 32 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 34 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-06-30 | 3 | 1st | 2641505362 |
| 2026-06-19 | 5 | 4th | 1316212650 |
| 2026-06-02 | 4 | 2nd | 1526434860 |
| 2026-05-19 | 21 | 2nd | 1026345664 |
| 2026-03-06 | 27 | 3rd | 819263842 |
| 2025-12-02 | 16 | 3rd | 1725265360 |
| 2025-10-07 | 31 | 2nd | 1726334556 |
| 2025-06-20 | — | 1st | 2649586163 |