Number 50

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.

12times drawn · chance expected 11 +0.22σ

13draws waiting · a wait this long: 41% for any number

13.1average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

23longest completed wait · 91% chance of one at least that long

50 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 12 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +0.22σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 50, draw by draw

Drawn 12 times in 158 draws · average wait 13.1 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 13 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 50 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.8
3rd smallest5 · chance 3.1
4th smallest1 · chance 5.1
5th smallest5 · chance 2.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

10 18 11 13 16 21

Never drawn alongside 34 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 34 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 50 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 50 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-25	16	5th	7 10 47 48 50
2026-06-30	3	3rd	26 41 50 53 62
2026-06-19	4	5th	13 16 21 26 50
2026-06-05	9	3rd	13 30 50

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 50 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.