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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
Drawn 14 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +0.84σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 158 draws · average wait 9.0 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 10 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 59 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 30 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 31 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 59 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 59 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 59 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-05-29 | 1 | 4th | 1924475965 |
| 2026-05-26 | 29 | 5th | 15495159 |
| 2026-02-13 | 16 | 4th | 3440495968 |
| 2025-12-19 | 1 | 5th | 111273959 |
| 2025-12-16 | 1 | 4th | 2024465965 |
| 2025-12-12 | 5 | 5th | 1050555859 |
| 2025-11-25 | 10 | 5th | 1115313259 |
| 2025-10-21 | 22 | 5th | 218273459 |
| 2025-08-05 | 4 | 4th | 1227425965 |
| 2025-07-22 | — | 4th | 2241425969 |