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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
Drawn 18 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +2.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 18 times in 158 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 42 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 25 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 42 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 42 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 42 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-03-06 | 12 | 5th | 819263842 |
| 2026-01-23 | 2 | 2nd | 3042495366 |
| 2026-01-16 | 2 | 4th | 222334267 |
| 2026-01-09 | 10 | 4th | 1230364247 |
| 2025-12-05 | 7 | 3rd | 3438424469 |
| 2025-11-11 | 14 | 4th | 1013404246 |
| 2025-09-23 | 1 | 4th | 1324414270 |
| 2025-09-19 | 2 | 4th | 222274258 |
| 2025-09-12 | 11 | 4th | 1718214264 |
| 2025-08-05 | 4 | 3rd | 1227425965 |
| 2025-07-22 | 5 | 3rd | 2241425969 |
| 2025-07-04 | 2 | 5th | 1720244142 |
| 2025-06-27 | 12 | 4th | 1821294250 |
| 2025-05-16 | — | 3rd | 222426266 |