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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
Drawn 14 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +0.84σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 158 draws · average wait 11.5 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 24 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 30 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 31 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 24 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 24 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 24 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-12-16 | 13 | 2nd | 2024465965 |
| 2025-10-31 | 11 | 2nd | 224526668 |
| 2025-09-23 | 10 | 2nd | 1324414270 |
| 2025-08-19 | 10 | 3rd | 1019244968 |
| 2025-07-15 | 1 | 3rd | 610243543 |
| 2025-07-11 | 2 | 3rd | 1223243156 |
| 2025-07-04 | 3 | 3rd | 1720244142 |
| 2025-06-24 | 6 | 4th | 1011182460 |
| 2025-06-03 | 14 | 2nd | 1624293645 |
| 2025-04-15 | — | 4th | 610132463 |