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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
Drawn 14 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +0.84σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 158 draws · average wait 10.4 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 13 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 48 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 29 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 31 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 48 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 48 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 48 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-07-14 | 6 | 4th | 24104856 |
| 2026-06-23 | 6 | 1st | 4851606366 |
| 2026-06-02 | 29 | 4th | 1526434860 |
| 2026-02-20 | 24 | 3rd | 1540485863 |
| 2025-11-28 | 6 | 5th | 67133948 |
| 2025-11-07 | 6 | 4th | 1621234870 |
| 2025-10-17 | 16 | 4th | 921274856 |
| 2025-08-22 | 25 | 4th | 1830444850 |
| 2025-05-27 | 5 | 4th | 628344862 |
| 2025-05-09 | — | 4th | 910124860 |