Number 34

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.

15times drawn · chance expected 11 +1.15σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 51% for any number

9.5average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

27longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long

34 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +1.15σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 34, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 158 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 34 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 1.0
2nd smallest2 · chance 4.1
3rd smallest8 · chance 5.8
4th smallest2 · chance 3.4
5th smallest0 · chance 0.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

48 59 6 43 10 17

Never drawn alongside 29 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 29 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 34 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 34 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-04	4	3rd	6 26 34 59 61
2026-08-21	7	3rd	1 25 34 48 57
2026-07-28	3	1st	34 48 49 59 70
2026-07-17	16	2nd	22 34 45

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 34 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.