Number 58

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.

15times drawn · chance expected 11 +1.15σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 80% for any number

10.9average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

35longest completed wait · 69% chance of one at least that long

58 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +1.15σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 58, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 158 draws · average wait 10.9 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 58 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.2
3rd smallest2 · chance 1.8
4th smallest5 · chance 6.1
5th smallest8 · chance 6.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

43 36 37 49 57 2

Never drawn alongside 30 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 29 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 58 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 58 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-25	3	3rd	25 57 58 67 68
2026-09-15	2	5th	27 36 43 57 58
2026-09-08	35	4th	17 30 43 58 66
2026-05-08	5	5th	37 47 49

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 58 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.