In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
13times drawn · chance expected 11 +0.53σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 93% for any number
12.8average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0
50longest completed wait · 28% chance of one at least that long
6 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 13 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +0.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
6
Number 6, draw by draw
Drawn 13 times in 158 draws · average wait 12.8 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 6 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 33 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 32 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 6 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 6 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.