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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
Drawn 15 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +1.15σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 158 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 27 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 25 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 29 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 27 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 27 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 27 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-03-27 | 28 | 2nd | 1327284162 |
| 2025-12-19 | 9 | 3rd | 111273959 |
| 2025-11-18 | 8 | 4th | 510232730 |
| 2025-10-21 | 1 | 3rd | 218273459 |
| 2025-10-17 | 5 | 3rd | 921274856 |
| 2025-09-30 | 1 | 3rd | 48273763 |
| 2025-09-26 | 2 | 3rd | 421273349 |
| 2025-09-19 | 10 | 3rd | 222274258 |
| 2025-08-15 | 3 | 3rd | 417273469 |
| 2025-08-05 | 1 | 2nd | 1227425965 |
| 2025-08-01 | — | 2nd | 1827293370 |