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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
Drawn 16 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +1.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 16 times in 158 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 43 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 28 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 27 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 43 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 43 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 43 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-04-21 | 1 | 3rd | 136435658 |
| 2026-04-17 | 14 | 2nd | 3843444962 |
| 2026-02-27 | 1 | 4th | 1118394367 |
| 2026-02-24 | 7 | 3rd | 1239434955 |
| 2026-01-30 | 8 | 4th | 1134364363 |
| 2026-01-02 | 1 | 4th | 613344352 |
| 2025-12-30 | 30 | 2nd | 1843496369 |
| 2025-09-16 | 2 | 5th | 1014344043 |
| 2025-09-09 | 15 | 2nd | 643526465 |
| 2025-07-18 | 1 | 2nd | 1143545563 |
| 2025-07-15 | 20 | 5th | 610243543 |
| 2025-05-06 | — | 3rd | 1617434658 |