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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£139,992,069
The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 411 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 410 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 8, 46) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 29 May 2020 — its closest relative in 410 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 August 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 101 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 292,633 winners, 27% more than the 231k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 1 | €157,170,843 |
| rang2 | 1 | €153,948 |
| rang3 | 2 | €35,980 |
| rang4 | 4 | €1,528 |
| rang5 | 170 | €123 |
| rang6 | 337 | €66.30 |
| rang7 | 358 | €44.80 |
| rang8 | 5,073 | €15.90 |
| rang9 | 8,898 | €11.20 |
| rang10 | 19,409 | €9.50 |
| rang11 | 26,897 | €7.60 |
| rang12 | 124,437 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 292,633 | €3.90 |