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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£135,824,926
The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 838 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 14 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 84 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 837 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 8, 16) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 July 2024 — its closest relative in 837 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 October 2024): 8 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 65 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 4,613 winners, 66% more than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,086,207 | £2.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 870,340 | £3.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 204,256 | £4.90 |
| Match 3 | 167,492 | £5.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 43,110 | £9.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 68,777 | £6.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,444 | £33.50 |
| Match 4 | 4,613 | £17.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,811 | £60.30 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 97 | £612 |
| Match 5 | 20 | £9,524 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 12 | £67,915 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £135,824,926 |