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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£165,658,649
The crowdHeld 51% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 808 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 June 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 11 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 135 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 807 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 11, 17) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 May 2022 — its closest relative in 807 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 June 2024): 3, 11 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 42 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 1,879 winners, 172% more than the 692 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 7 | €86,983 |
| rang3 | 17 | €6,468 |
| rang4 | 15 | €1,198 |
| rang5 | 881 | €53.40 |
| rang6 | 864 | €53.30 |
| rang7 | 1,879 | €18.80 |
| rang8 | 10,886 | €14.80 |
| rang9 | 25,975 | €7.40 |
| rang10 | 58,895 | €6.10 |
| rang11 | 50,885 | €7.60 |
| rang12 | 281,964 | €4.60 |
| rang13 | 658,794 | €3.20 |