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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£64,077,706
The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 859 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 858 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 4, 21) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 December 2020 — its closest relative in 858 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 December 2024): 1 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 58 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈29M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,002,365 winners, 23% fewer than the 1.3M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,002,365 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 505,740 | £3.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 152,149 | £3.60 |
| Match 3 | 75,380 | £6.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30,297 | £7.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 39,664 | £6.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,094 | £29.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,749 | £25.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 923 | £63.90 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48 | £667 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £12,857 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £64,077,706 |