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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£15,232,000
The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 627 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 626 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 21, 34) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 2 April 2021 — its closest relative in 626 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang8 — 3,421 winners, 8% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €128,444 |
| rang3 | 0 | €40,026 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,336 |
| rang5 | 84 | €140 |
| rang6 | 222 | €70.10 |
| rang7 | 241 | €44.60 |
| rang8 | 3,421 | €15.80 |
| rang9 | 4,884 | €12.10 |
| rang10 | 11,297 | €9.60 |
| rang11 | 19,598 | €7.10 |
| rang12 | 77,980 | €5.60 |
| rang13 | 172,650 | €4.10 |