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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,971,900
The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 959 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 December 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 160 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 958 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 13, 20) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 November 2024 — its closest relative in 958 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 November 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 92 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 860,109 winners, 28% more than the 673k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 860,109 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 326,849 | £4.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 78,527 | £5.40 |
| Match 3 | 58,195 | £6.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 14,715 | £11.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 21,976 | £8.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,004 | £48.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,141 | £30.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 467 | £98.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23 | £1,090 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £8,943 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £172,189 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,971,900 |