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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£46,379,442
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 760 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 127 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 759 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 18, 39) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 August 2020 — its closest relative in 759 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 January 2024): 7, 18 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 17,076 winners, 18% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €359,049 |
| rang3 | 1 | €23,976 |
| rang4 | 11 | €886 |
| rang5 | 148 | €129 |
| rang6 | 395 | €50.80 |
| rang7 | 322 | €41.70 |
| rang8 | 6,457 | €10.80 |
| rang9 | 7,715 | €11.10 |
| rang10 | 17,076 | €9.50 |
| rang11 | 34,807 | €5.30 |
| rang12 | 117,380 | €5.20 |
| rang13 | 249,222 | €4.00 |