Number 15

In Powerball under the 6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011 rules — 1,350 draws, 6 from 1–40.

217times drawn · chance expected 203 +1.11σ

12draws waiting · a wait this long: 17% for any number

6.2average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

37longest completed wait · 46% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 217 times in 1,350 draws against 202.5 expected, +1.11σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 217 times in 1,350 draws · average wait 6.2 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 12 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest20 · chance 20.0
2nd smallest78 · chance 66.7
3rd smallest66 · chance 78.9
4th smallest35 · chance 41.2
5th smallest16 · chance 9.4
6th smallest2 · chance 0.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 27.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

22 10 14 29 6 19

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-15	4	2nd	14 15 17 22 32 40
2026-08-01	7	3rd	8 14 15 24 26 30
2026-07-08	1	2nd	12 15 27 28 35 40
2026-07-04	18	2nd	2

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-11-20	9	2nd	7 15 20 30 38 40
2024-10-19	10	2nd	2 15 20 21 26 30
2024-09-14	1	2nd	3 15 18 22 31 32
2024-09-11	10	3rd	3 10 15 19 22 26
2024-08-07	7	2nd	13 15 29 30 31 40
2024-07-13	11	3rd	11 13 15 19 31 38
2024-06-05	1	3rd	2 13 15 22 23 33
2024-06-01	8	1st	15 20 33 34 38 39
2024-05-04	5	3rd	11 13 15 20 30 38
2024-04-17	6	4th	1 2 14 15 17 19
2024-03-27	4	4th	6 8 12 15 25 38
2024-03-13	1	2nd	5 15 23 24 30 36
2024-03-09	16	2nd	12 15 22 24 34 36
2024-01-13	3	5th	5 7 9 12 15 27
2024-01-03	1	3rd	10 13 15 22 23 35
2023-12-30	3	2nd	10 15 17 25 33 38
2023-12-20	25	2nd	2 15 26 37 38 40
2023-09-23	9	1st	15 25 27 28 37 40
2023-08-23	3	3rd	1 14 15 17 18 24
2023-08-12	8	1st	15 19 20 23 31 33
2023-07-15	5	3rd	7 11 15 21 24 34
2023-06-28	5	4th	4 5 8 15 31 33
2023-06-10	1	3rd	2 10 15 23 24 40
2023-06-07	3	2nd	6 15 24 30 34 37
2023-05-27	6	2nd	4 15 17 21 22 29
2023-05-06	3	3rd	8 10 15 18 25 27
2023-04-26	16	2nd	3 15 23 29 36 40
2023-03-01	6	2nd	14 15 17 26 34 35
2023-02-08	9	3rd	2 10 15 18 24 29
2023-01-07	13	4th	1 3 7 15 24 30
2022-11-23	8	2nd	14 15 16 20 29 39
2022-10-26	1	2nd	7 15 21 22 29 39
2022-10-22	2	3rd	6 9 15 29 33 34
2022-10-15	1	5th	2 4 8 10 15 33
2022-10-12	5	2nd	9 15 22 27 37 39
2022-09-24	17	2nd	7 15 23 25 26 27
2022-07-27	4	2nd	13 15 19 20 28 32
2022-07-13	7	5th	2 3 6 9 15 40
2022-06-18	8	3rd	6 13 15 17 33 38
2022-05-21	6	2nd	12 15 19 28 39 40
2022-04-30	3	3rd	2 6 15 22 29 38
2022-04-20	6	3rd	3 4 15 17 19 34
2022-03-30	4	4th	4 5 6 15 22 40
2022-03-16	2	4th	4 11 14 15 24 35
2022-03-09	7	3rd	5 13 15 16 28 39
2022-02-12	5	3rd	8 11 15 27 32 33
2022-01-26	5	2nd	6 15 25 34 36 38
2022-01-08	1	2nd	14 15 16 23 24 38
2022-01-05	7	2nd	9 15 17 32 37 38
2021-12-11	3	1st	15 20 24 31 34 36
2021-12-01	8	4th	6 10 11 15 28 31
2021-11-03	13	2nd	10 15 17 25 33 35
2021-09-18	21	2nd	6 15 18 19 21 32
2021-07-07	7	4th	3 8 14 15 30 31
2021-06-12	19	3rd	4 12 15 18 24 36
2021-04-07	1	3rd	6 10 15 22 29 31
2021-04-03	5	2nd	8 15 16 21 25 34
2021-03-17	2	4th	3 4 10 15 20 33
2021-03-10	3	4th	3 6 11 15 17 22
2021-02-27	3	1st	15 23 26 32 38 40
2021-02-17	6	1st	15 16 25 26 31 33
2021-01-27	7	2nd	10 15 17 23 28 29
2021-01-02	8	2nd	4 15 20 29 36 39
2020-12-05	4	5th	1 4 10 14 15 20
2020-11-21	21	4th	5 6 7 15 19 36
2020-09-09	2	3rd	1 5 15 21 24 36
2020-09-02	2	2nd	8 15 17 19 20 27
2020-08-26	14	3rd	7 13 15 18 32 40
2020-07-08	2	2nd	14 15 24 31 32 37
2020-07-01	6	2nd	1 15 22 25 35 39
2020-06-10	3	4th	6 11 12 15 17 22
2020-05-30	4	5th	2 4 12 13 15 28
2020-05-16	2	2nd	10 15 20 26 31 34
2020-05-09	7	2nd	7 15 22 27 29 38
2020-04-15	15	2nd	3 15 17 22 26 29
2020-02-22	4	2nd	8 15 22 36 39 40
2020-02-08	1	4th	12 13 14 15 24 38
2020-02-05	12	4th	2 3 6 15 31 40
2019-12-25	6	3rd	6 13 15 16 35 38
2019-12-04	8	3rd	1 8 15 16 22 30
2019-11-06	8	5th	1 7 9 10 15 19
2019-10-09	3	2nd	5 15 22 27 29 38
2019-09-28	1	3rd	5 13 15 36 37 39
2019-09-25	3	3rd	3 5 15 21 22 31
2019-09-14	5	3rd	6 13 15 22 26 34
2019-08-28	2	2nd	4 15 19 23 24 25
2019-08-21	2	3rd	6 8 15 17 21 23
2019-08-14	12	1st	15 19 23 31 35 40
2019-07-03	2	2nd	1 15 22 31 38 39
2019-06-26	3	1st	15 29 30 32 38 39
2019-06-15	30	2nd	6 15 25 27 28 35
2019-03-02	7	5th	8 9 12 14 15 19
2019-02-06	10	4th	6 8 14 15 26 31
2019-01-02	1	2nd	11 15 22 31 35 39
2018-12-29	2	4th	2 10 11 15 33 35
2018-12-22	13	2nd	10 15 25 27 28 31
2018-11-07	2	3rd	1 12 15 22 39 40
2018-10-31	1	4th	10 11 14 15 16 32
2018-10-27	8	3rd	10 12 15 17 18 34
2018-09-29	4	1st	15 19 24 29 32 35
2018-09-15	6	5th	2 7 8 12 15 17
2018-08-25	1	6th	3 4 8 9 13 15
2018-08-22	12	4th	2 5 10 15 25 28
2018-07-11	1	1st	15 18 20 22 23 35
2018-07-07	4	2nd	10 15 18 29 30 33
2018-06-23	17	2nd	4 15 17 18 30 39
2018-04-25	1	3rd	3 7 15 23 27 36
2018-04-21	5	4th	2 9 10 15 27 32
2018-04-04	3	4th	1 13 14 15 22 38
2018-03-24	2	2nd	12 15 18 21 22 37
2018-03-17	3	1st	15 16 19 24 25 40
2018-03-07	9	2nd	3 15 23 25 29 34
2018-02-03	5	3rd	2 11 15 29 30 38
2018-01-17	3	2nd	3 15 18 19 22 23
2018-01-06	3	3rd	10 13 15 19 33 40
2017-12-27	1	2nd	3 15 16 22 28 30
2017-12-23	4	1st	15 17 19 25 29 38
2017-12-09	2	4th	4 5 8 15 16 22
2017-12-02	7	3rd	2 14 15 21 23 32
2017-11-08	5	3rd	8 13 15 17 25 27
2017-10-21	1	3rd	5 13 15 22 24 29
2017-10-18	2	4th	11 13 14 15 22 32
2017-10-11	4	2nd	4 15 24 29 33 35
2017-09-27	1	3rd	1 12 15 22 27 34
2017-09-23	2	3rd	6 7 15 19 31 35
2017-09-16	37	3rd	3 9 15 20 24 37
2017-05-10	7	5th	1 3 4 9 15 33
2017-04-15	5	3rd	2 14 15 24 27 29
2017-03-29	13	3rd	4 9 15 28 35 38
2017-02-11	20	2nd	11 15 17 23 30 35
2016-12-03	10	4th	5 6 10 15 28 37
2016-10-29	4	1st	15 19 22 23 30 36
2016-10-15	1	2nd	8 15 20 29 35 39
2016-10-12	4	6th	1 5 11 12 14 15
2016-09-28	5	3rd	3 5 15 27 37 38
2016-09-10	4	4th	5 10 11 15 18 38
2016-08-27	1	5th	4 6 7 9 15 25
2016-08-24	6	2nd	14 15 17 32 38 39
2016-08-03	1	2nd	10 15 28 29 33 35
2016-07-30	3	3rd	4 8 15 26 27 29
2016-07-20	7	2nd	6 15 25 34 38 39
2016-06-25	13	1st	15 19 21 24 25 29
2016-05-11	4	2nd	9 15 22 27 32 40
2016-04-27	4	3rd	1 12 15 20 29 32
2016-04-13	9	3rd	4 14 15 17 29 36
2016-03-12	1	4th	7 9 12 15 21 25
2016-03-09	3	2nd	9 15 16 17 18 28
2016-02-27	7	2nd	14 15 18 22 30 33
2016-02-03	6	5th	5 10 11 14 15 18
2016-01-13	11	2nd	3 15 22 28 35 39
2015-12-05	1	4th	2 9 12 15 23 25
2015-12-02	3	3rd	5 14 15 18 21 27
2015-11-21	2	2nd	6 15 19 31 35 40
2015-11-14	5	5th	3 5 9 10 15 40
2015-10-28	4	2nd	14 15 23 24 28 33
2015-10-14	5	2nd	9 15 19 21 26 30
2015-09-19	8	3rd	1 14 15 27 33 39
2015-07-25	2	2nd	9 15 18 22 36 39
2015-07-11	3	3rd	8 11 15 17 31 36
2015-06-20	8	1st	15 18 21 36 37 40
2015-04-25	1	3rd	10 14 15 20 25 37
2015-04-18	3	2nd	6 15 18 21 23 37
2015-03-28	8	4th	4 9 14 15 27 33
2015-01-31	2	2nd	8 15 16 28 31 32
2015-01-17	1	1st	15 19 30 32 35 40
2015-01-10	2	2nd	2 15 19 27 37 39
2014-12-27	10	3rd	9 10 15 19 24 28
2014-10-18	3	2nd	2 15 27 32 36 40
2014-09-27	4	1st	15 19 20 28 38 40
2014-08-30	30	2nd	10 15 17 19 35 39
2014-02-01	5	1st	15 20 27 30 38 39
2013-12-28	2	2nd	6 15 16 18 20 34
2013-12-14	6	2nd	5 15 20 32 33 39
2013-11-02	1	4th	1 5 12 15 21 29
2013-10-26	12	2nd	4 15 19 27 32 33
2013-08-03	13	4th	4 6 9 15 23 29
2013-05-04	2	1st	15 24 26 27 38 40
2013-04-20	5	1st	15 29 31 34 39 40
2013-03-16	15	4th	3 11 13 15 16 26
2012-12-01	4	4th	8 10 14 15 21 39
2012-11-03	1	3rd	1 2 15 21 35 36
2012-10-27	3	2nd	14 15 29 33 36 39
2012-10-06	5	2nd	9 15 19 22 23 30
2012-09-01	3	3rd	1 5 15 26 33 35
2012-08-11	3	3rd	2 4 15 20 26 31
2012-07-21	1	3rd	1 13 15 17 26 31
2012-07-14	6	5th	4 7 11 12 15 34
2012-06-02	6	3rd	10 11 15 21 24 33
2012-04-21	6	5th	7 11 12 13 15 16
2012-03-10	11	3rd	8 11 15 24 35 39
2011-12-24	3	2nd	7 15 18 26 32 34
2011-12-03	2	2nd	4 15 18 21 32 33
2011-11-19	—	2nd	13 15 25 26 30 31