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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 9 March 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 18
  6. 28
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$8,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 249 of 1,351 under them

← 2016-03-05All recent draws2016-03-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 16 17 18 28 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

938times
1546times
1633times
1744times
18

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-09

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$138.7Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.4%NZ$7.5K
  • Match 3 + Powerball83%NZ$114.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.5%NZ$9.0K
  • 2 other tiers5.6%NZ$7.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
2833times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

425times

Every number was expected about that many times after 248 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 15, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 July 2015 — its closest relative in 248 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 March 2016): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 16–17, 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 4.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$8,500,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball15≈ 16 by chanceNZ$465
  • Match 4 + Powerball745≈ 671 by chanceNZ$10.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,542≈ 9.5k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball43NZ$19.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball900NZ$10.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 745 winners, 11% more than the 671 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$8,500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball15NZ$465
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball43NZ$19.00
    Match 4 + Powerball745NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball900NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,542NZ$12.00
    Totals0—