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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 15
  3. 20
  4. 29
  5. 35
  6. 39
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 312 of 1,350 under them

← 2016-10-12All recent draws2016-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 15 20 29 35 39 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

846times
1560times
2045times
2943times
35

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$372.2Kto 30k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.6%NZ$21.0K
  • Match 3 + Powerball82%NZ$304.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.5%NZ$24.2K
  • 2 other tiers5.9%NZ$22.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
3949times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

527times

Every number was expected about that many times after 311 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 15, 35, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 March 2012 — its closest relative in 311 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2016): 15 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$20,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball42≈ 43 by chanceNZ$471
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,906≈ 1.8k by chanceNZ$11.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball25,409≈ 25k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball94NZ$25.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,417NZ$10.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,906 winners, 7% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$20,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball42NZ$471
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball94NZ$25.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,906NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,417NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Powerball25,409NZ$12.00
    Totals0—