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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 28 August 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 24
  6. 25
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 611 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-08-24All recent draws2019-08-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 19 23 24 25 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each

489times
15107times
19110times
2394times
24

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-28

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$280.3Kto 13k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$42.8K
  • Match 3 + Powerball59%NZ$164.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$39.1K
  • 2 other tiers12%NZ$34K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

91times
2590times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

354times

Every number was expected about that many times after 610 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 19, 24, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 March 2018 — its closest relative in 610 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 August 2019): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$6,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball16≈ 19 by chanceNZ$1,823
  • Match 4 + Powerball807≈ 771 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,960≈ 11k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball50NZ$96.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,087NZ$36.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 807 winners, 5% more than the 771 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$6,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball16NZ$1,823
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball50NZ$96.00
    Match 4 + Powerball807NZ$53.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,087NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,960NZ$15.00
    Totals12,920—