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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 3 December 2011

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 32
  6. 33
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 4 of 1,352 under them

← 2011-11-26All recent draws2011-12-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 18 21 32 33 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

89oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 89 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

40times
151time
181time
210times
32

Prize breakdown · 2011-12-03

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$228.1Kto 2.7k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 1,945lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Powerball31%NZ$71.3K
  • Match 4 + Powerball32%NZ$73.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball32%NZ$73.4K
  • 1 other tier4.2%NZ$9.6K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
331time
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

50times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 6 numbers (33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 November 2011 — its closest relative in 3 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 November 2011): 33 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 3 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball23≈ 28 by chanceNZ$3,102
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,153≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball60NZ$160
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,468NZ$50.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,153 winners, 0% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball23NZ$3,102
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball60NZ$160
    Match 4 + Powerball1,153NZ$64.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,468NZ$50.00